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Consensus

Sell-side analysts with active coverage of UniCredit at the research firms listed in the first page of the attachment were asked to submit their latest UniCredit estimates for this consensus collection. Research firms that have recently discontinued UniCredit coverage (some of which may have contributed to prior consensus collection) are not shown on this list. Sell-side analysts who maintain a detailed earnings forecast model are asked to participate in the consensus collection.

 

Please note that the table below and the downloadable document are a summary of publicly available opinions, estimates and forecasts made by analysts representing 16 brokers covering UniCredit. The document contains a summary of median and average consensus estimates for UniCredit, collected by UniCredit Investor Relations directly from sell-side analysts covering UniCredit.

 

The opinions, estimates and forecasts are theirs alone and do not represent the opinions, estimates or forecasts of UniCredit or its management, nor should they be considered as a recommendation to enter into any transaction involving UniCredit securities. By including this information on its website, UniCredit does not endorse or concur with any of these opinions, estimates or forecasts and disclaims any liability for the completeness, timeliness, accuracy or selection of such information.

 

 

Consensus updated after 4Q25 results.

Target price, rating, EPS, DPS

Target price & rating

   
Average target price, € 86.16
Contributors with rating, # 15
BUY (Overweight, Outperform, Add, Accumulate) 73%
HOLD (Neutral, Market Perform, Equalweight, In line)  27%
SELL (Reduce, Underperform, Underweight)  0%

Stated EPS1, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average Stated EPS, € 7.46 8.38 9.39
Growth y/y n.m. +12% +12%
Median Stated EPS, € 7.48 8.47 9.45
Growth y/y n.m. +13% +12%
Max  7.82 8.85 10.34
Min 7.17 7.84 8.36

EPS2, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average EPS, € 7.41 8.35 9.36
Growth y/y n.m. +13% +12%
Median EPS, € 7.40 8.47 9.45
Growth y/y n.m. +15% +12%
Max  7.82 8.85 10.34
Min 6.98 7.64 8.36

DPS3, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average DPS, € 3.80 4.26 4.79
Growth n.m. +12% +12%
Median DPS, € 3.82 4.27 4.78
Growth n.m. +12% +12%
Max  3.90 4.60 5.37
Min 3.62 3.81 4.25

1. Stated EPS is calculated by taking the estimates on Stated Net Profit over average outstanding ordinary shares submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

2. EPS is calculated by taking the estimates on Net Profit over average outstanding ordinary shares submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

3. DPS is calculated by taking the absolute cash dividends over EoP number of ordinary shares estimates submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

 

Group

Consensus full table 

 

Consensus4 2026E 2027E 2028E
€m Average Median Average Median Average Median
Total revenues 26,045 26,069 27,156 27,212 28,361 28,388
Net interest 14,424 14,405 14,961 14,919 15,619 15,390
Net commissions and insurance result 9,305 9,286 9,742 9,768 10,191 10,199
  o/w Net commissions 8,931 8,931 9,341 9,310 9,761 9,745
  o/w Net insurance result 399 400 428 424 460 450
Trading income 896 921 847 837 850 833
Dividends 1,566 1,590 1,769 1,767 1,886 1,870
Balance -145 -162 -164 -160 -184 -175
Operating costs -9,379 -9,366 -9,313 -9,298 -9,282 -9,240
Staff expenses -5,826 -5,804 -5,766 -5,756 -5,771 -5,698
Other administrative expenses -2,613 -2,612 -2,613 -2,612 -2,581 -2,571
Recovery of expenses 88 94 91 95 86 94
Depreciation and amortisation  -1,024 -1,036 -1,020 -1,043 -1,020 -1,044
Gross operating profit 16,666 16,696 17,843 17,924 19,079 19,075
Net write-downs on loans -790 -813 -845 -863 -910 -902
Net operating profit 15,876 15,884 16,998 17,038 18,169 18,217
Other charges & provisions -489 -488 -464 -454 -449 -452
  o/w Systemic Charges -344 -371 -334 -362 -333 -355
    o/w DGS -48 -66 -49 -64 -49 -64
    o/w Bank levies -189 -251 -176 -215 -177 -218
    o/w SRF -17 -21 -16 -18 -16 -18
Integration costs -147 -156 -160 -137 -138 -136
Net profit (loss) from investments -3 0 -10 0 -13 0
Profit (loss) before tax 15,238 15,239 16,364 16,463 17,569 17,700
Income taxes -4,047 -4,054 -4,328 -4,335 -4,637 -4,657
Net profit (loss) of discontinued operations 0 0 0 0 0 0
Minorities -58 -65 -60 -65 -62 -66
PPA -119 -107 -105 -107 -93 -107
Goodwill impairment 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stated Net profit 11,021 11,033 11,878 11,914 12,772 12,821
Net Profit 10,960 10,984 11,841 11,890 12,737 12,817
AT1 Coupon (post tax basis) -280 -282 -281 -282 -283 -282
Cashes Coupon (post tax basis) -201 -200 -201 -200 -202 -204
Net Profit after AT1 and Cashes 10,467 10,485 11,341 11,435 12,245 12,411
             
RWA, EoP 309,605 309,827 318,320 316,834 328,781 327,455
CET1% 14.6% 14.5% 14.6% 14.5% 14.8% 14.7%

4. Please note that the number of contributors may vary line by line and by reference period. Hence some quarter-end figures may not match the year-end ones. NB: The consensus figures represent the line-by-line median of the estimates provided by the analysts, therefore are not additive.

 

"Stated net profit" means accounting net profit.
"Net profit" means Stated net profit adjusted for impacts from DTAs tax loss carry forward resulting from sustainability test. The result is used for cash dividend accrual / total distribution.

"Net profit after AT1 and Cashes" means Net profit as defined above adjusted for impacts from AT1 and Cashes coupons. The result is used for RoTE and RoAC calculation.

 

 

Updated on 02 March 2026.