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Consensus

Sell-side analysts with active coverage of UniCredit at the research firms listed in the first page of the attachment were asked to submit their latest UniCredit estimates for this consensus collection. Research firms that have recently discontinued UniCredit coverage (some of which may have contributed to prior consensus collection) are not shown on this list. Sell-side analysts who maintain a detailed earnings forecast model are asked to participate in the consensus collection.

 

Please note that the table below and the downloadable document are a summary of publicly available opinions, estimates and forecasts made by analysts representing 17 brokers covering UniCredit. The document contains a summary of median and average consensus estimates for UniCredit, collected by UniCredit Investor Relations directly from sell-side analysts covering UniCredit.

 

The opinions, estimates and forecasts are theirs alone and do not represent the opinions, estimates or forecasts of UniCredit or its management, nor should they be considered as a recommendation to enter into any transaction involving UniCredit securities. By including this information on its website, UniCredit does not endorse or concur with any of these opinions, estimates or forecasts and disclaims any liability for the completeness, timeliness, accuracy or selection of such information.

 

 

Consensus updated before 1Q26 results.

Target price, rating, EPS, DPS

Target price & rating

   
Average target price, € 83.74
Contributors with rating, # 15
BUY (Overweight, Outperform, Add, Accumulate) 67%
HOLD (Neutral, Market Perform, Equalweight, In line)  33%
SELL (Reduce, Underperform, Underweight)  0%

Stated EPS1, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average Stated EPS, € 7.40 8.37 9.51
Growth y/y n.m. +13% +14%
Median Stated EPS, € 7.41 8.41 9.49
Growth y/y n.m. +13% +13%
Max  7.84 8.91 10.44
Min 6.87 7.58 8.33

EPS2, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average EPS, € 7.40 8.37 9.51
Growth y/y n.m. +13% +14%
Median EPS, € 7.41 8.41 9.49
Growth y/y n.m. +13% +13%
Max  7.84 8.91 10.44
Min 6.87 7.58 8.33

DPS3, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average DPS, € 3.79 4.27 4.86
Growth n.m. +13% +14%
Median DPS, € 3.82 4.29 4.85
Growth n.m. +12% +13%
Max  3.92 4.63 5.43
Min 3.50 3.83 4.23

1. Stated EPS is calculated by taking the estimates on Stated Net Profit over average outstanding ordinary shares submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

2. EPS is calculated by taking the estimates on Net Profit over average outstanding ordinary shares submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

3. DPS is calculated by taking the absolute cash dividends over EoP number of ordinary shares estimates submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

 

Group

Consensus full table 

 

Consensus4 1Q26E   2026E 2027E 2028E
€m Average Median Average Median Average Median Average Median
Total revenues 6,435 6,424 25,833 25,816 26,969 26,898 28,242 28,227
Net interest 3,514 3,530 14,476 14,514 15,092 15,039 15,798 15,848
Net commissions and insurance result 2,363 2,376 9,242 9,252 9,666 9,678 10,122 10,178
  o/w Net commissions 2,274 2,282 8,886 8,890 9,298 9,279 9,729 9,747
  o/w Net insurance result 93 95 382 389 413 406 447 444
Trading income 220 173 735 625 675 571 685 602
Dividends 412 407 1,635 1,674 1,814 1,809 1,948 1,970
Balance -75 -81 -256 -310 -280 -310 -312 -342
Operating costs -2,311 -2,308 -9,365 -9,361 -9,302 -9,292 -9,253 -9,240
Staff expenses -1,437 -1,434 -5,822 -5,809 -5,766 -5,758 -5,721 -5,695
Other administrative expenses -636 -641 -2,601 -2,612 -2,595 -2,585 -2,592 -2,558
Recovery of expenses 21 22 88 94 91 95 86 95
Depreciation and amortisation  -258 -260 -1,025 -1,034 -1,026 -1,043 -1,027 -1,046
Gross operating profit 4,124 4,120 16,467 16,455 17,666 17,605 18,989 19,004
Net write-downs on loans -187 -185 -799 -813 -865 -891 -932 -950
Net operating profit 3,937 3,925 15,668 15,679 16,801 16,849 18,057 18,062
Other charges & provisions -227 -235 -565 -554 -489 -477 -466 -483
  o/w Systemic Charges -187 -193 -381 -412 -353 -382 -348 -376
    o/w DGS -18 -15 -73 -68 -60 -67 -52 -57
    o/w Bank levies -132 -125 -238 -280 -236 -283 -237 -286
    o/w SRF -10 -11 -18 -20 -16 -16 -16 -16
Integration costs -18 -12 -133 -128 -155 -138 -139 -120
Net profit (loss) from investments 22 0 0 0 -13 0 -14 0
Profit (loss) before tax 3,714 3,748 14,971 15,009 16,145 16,207 17,437 17,608
Income taxes -983 -981 -3,870 -3,857 -4,185 -4,257 -4,503 -4,424
Net profit (loss) of discontinued operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Minorities -14 -16 -56 -64 -59 -65 -61 -66
PPA -42 -50 -145 -200 -122 -160 -102 -119
Goodwill impairment 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stated Net profit 2,675 2,699 10,899 10,922 11,779 11,828 12,772 12,878
Net Profit 2,675 2,699 10,899 10,922 11,779 11,828 12,772 12,878
AT1 Coupon (post tax basis) -23 0 -215 -237 -215 -237 -215 -237
Cashes Coupon (post tax basis) -43 -48 -157 -200 -159 -202 -159 -205
Net Profit after AT1 and Cashes 2,603 2,612 10,393 10,384 11,244 11,266 12,218 12,282
                 
RWA, EoP 299,706 298,322 309,346 309,236 317,197 316,053 326,426 326,319
CET1% 14.3% 14.3% 14.5% 14.4% 14.5% 14.5% 14.7% 14.6%

4. Please note that the number of contributors may vary line by line and by reference period. Hence some quarter-end figures may not match the year-end ones. NB: The consensus figures represent the line-by-line median of the estimates provided by the analysts, therefore are not additive.

 

"Stated net profit" means accounting net profit.
"Net profit" means Stated net profit adjusted for impacts from DTAs tax loss carry forward resulting from sustainability test. The result is used for cash dividend accrual / total distribution.

"Net profit after AT1 and Cashes" means Net profit as defined above adjusted for impacts from AT1 and Cashes coupons. The result is used for RoTE and RoAC calculation.

 

 

Updated on 16 April 2026.