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Consensus

Sell-side analysts with active coverage of UniCredit at the research firms listed in the first page of the attachment were asked to submit their latest UniCredit estimates for this consensus collection. Research firms that have recently discontinued UniCredit coverage (some of which may have contributed to prior consensus collection) are not shown on this list. Sell-side analysts who maintain a detailed earnings forecast model are asked to participate in the consensus collection.

 

Please note that the table below and the downloadable document are a summary of publicly available opinions, estimates and forecasts made by analysts representing 16 brokers covering UniCredit. The document contains a summary of median and average consensus estimates for UniCredit, collected by UniCredit Investor Relations directly from sell-side analysts covering UniCredit.

 

The opinions, estimates and forecasts are theirs alone and do not represent the opinions, estimates or forecasts of UniCredit or its management, nor should they be considered as a recommendation to enter into any transaction involving UniCredit securities. By including this information on its website, UniCredit does not endorse or concur with any of these opinions, estimates or forecasts and disclaims any liability for the completeness, timeliness, accuracy or selection of such information.

 

 

Consensus updated before 2Q26 results.

Target price, rating, EPS, DPS

Target price & rating

   
Average target price, € 88.05
Contributors with rating, # 14
BUY (Overweight, Outperform, Add, Accumulate) 79%
HOLD (Neutral, Market Perform, Equalweight, In line)  21%
SELL (Reduce, Underperform, Underweight)  0%

Stated EPS1, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average Stated EPS, € 7.62 8.12 9.55
Growth y/y n.m. +7% +18%
Median Stated EPS, € 7.63 8.43 9.62
Growth y/y n.m. +10% +14%
Max  7.99 8.75 9.93
Min 7.09 5.99 8.79

EPS2, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average EPS, € 7.62 8.45 9.55
Growth y/y n.m. +11% +13%
Median EPS, € 7.63 8.46 9.62
Growth y/y n.m. +11% +14%
Max  7.99 8.75 9.93
Min 7.09 8.10 8.79

DPS3, €

  2026E 2027E 2028E
Average DPS, € 3.85 4.27 4.84
Growth n.m. +11% +13%
Median DPS, € 3.88 4.29 4.87
Growth n.m. +11% +13%
Max  4.04 4.44 5.06
Min 3.55 4.00 4.45

1. Stated EPS is calculated by taking the estimates on Stated Net Profit over average outstanding ordinary shares submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

2. EPS is calculated by taking the estimates on Net Profit over average outstanding ordinary shares submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

3. DPS is calculated by taking the absolute cash dividends over EoP number of ordinary shares estimates submitted by the individual analysts that participate to the Consensus compiling process.

 

Group

Consensus full table 

 

Consensus4 2Q26E 2026E 2027E 2028E
€m Average Median Average Median Average Median Average Median
Total revenues 6,485 6,470 26,161 26,159 27,343 27,313 28,667 28,712
Net interest 3,656 3,649 14,734 14,720 15,355 15,318 16,061 16,007
Net commissions and insurance result 2,356 2,355 9,406 9,388 9,813 9,861 10,265 10,297
  o/w Net commissions 2,275 2,262 9,058 9,024 9,444 9,472 9,869 9,849
  o/w Net insurance result 89 90 363 350 396 397 433 431
Trading income -30 -29 582 620 538 545 550 566
Dividends 601 619 1,827 1,831 2,048 1,986 2,237 2,163
Balance -98 -102 -388 -401 -410 -408 -446 -437
Operating costs -2,302 -2,303 -9,377 -9,381 -9,307 -9,303 -9,242 -9,225
Staff expenses -1,429 -1,427 -5,817 -5,822 -5,762 -5,758 -5,707 -5,708
Other administrative expenses -636 -645 -2,600 -2,608 -2,577 -2,572 -2,563 -2,539
Recovery of expenses 21 22 81 89 84 90 85 90
Depreciation and amortisation  -256 -254 -1,037 -1,029 -1,046 -1,037 -1,057 -1,041
Gross operating profit 4,184 4,183 16,784 16,726 18,036 17,969 19,425 19,456
Net write-downs on loans -205 -200 -802 -808 -874 -901 -941 -967
Net operating profit 3,979 3,995 15,982 15,908 17,162 17,057 18,483 18,429
Other charges & provisions -118 -103 -692 -698 -531 -518 -507 -500
  o/w Systemic Charges -42 -45 -430 -425 -389 -412 -382 -405
    o/w DGS -5 -2 -62 -67 -48 -53 -40 -50
    o/w Bank levies -28 -35 -279 -326 -252 -310 -252 -310
    o/w SRF -1 0 -13 -13 -14 -15 -14 -15
Integration costs -24 -25 -131 -93 -167 -146 -138 -108
Net profit (loss) from investments 8 0 208 200 -17 -5 -17 -3
Profit (loss) before tax 3,846 3,861 15,376 15,373 16,460 16,491 17,831 17,762
Income taxes -951 -933 -3,898 -3,895 -4,225 -4,224 -4,544 -4,509
Net profit (loss) of discontinued operations 0 0 0 0 -550 0 0 0
Minorities -15 -16 -60 -64 -61 -65 -63 -66
PPA -46 -48 -191 -195 -151 -160 -124 -130
Goodwill impairment 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stated Net profit 2,835 2,838 11,226 11,235 11,584 11,998 13,101 13,028
Net Profit 2,834 2,838 11,226 11,235 12,024 12,050 13,101 13,028
AT1 Coupon (post tax basis) -119 -125 -265 -271 -255 -260 -256 -260
Cashes Coupon (post tax basis) -50 -49 -199 -200 -203 -200 -203 -200
Net Profit after AT1 and Cashes 2,703 2,710 10,785 10,875 11,283 11,627 12,674 12,666
                 
RWA, EoP 300,757 301,180 311,681 311,143 329,493 318,309 338,852 325,527
CET1% 14.3% 14.3% 14.6% 14.6% 14.6% 14.5% 14.9% 14.7%

4. Please note that the number of contributors may vary line by line and by reference period. Hence some quarter-end figures may not match the year-end ones. NB: The consensus figures represent the line-by-line median of the estimates provided by the analysts, therefore are not additive.

 

"Stated net profit" means accounting net profit.
"Net profit" means stated (or accounting) net profit adjusted for impacts from DTAs from tax loss carry forward sustinability test (only for the Group), potentially adjusted for one-offs.

"Net profit after AT1 and Cashes" means Net profit as defined above adjusted for impacts from AT1 and Cashes coupons. The result is used for RoTE and RoAC calculation.

Updated on 07 July 2026.